Standard Chartered: “Opportunity to earn income in light of torn Central Banks”
o Central banks
torn between fighting inflation and avoiding a recession
o US Federal
Reserve to slow rate hikes after July as inflation peaks
o Raises
allocation to “attractive”bonds at the expense of equities
o Diversified
income allocation basket now offers more than6% yield
5 July 2022, Dubai, United Arab Emirates –Standard Charteredannounced
today its investment outlook for the second half of 2022. In its report, titled
“Walking a tightrope”, the bank highlighted key opportunities for investorsto
earn a high income through increasing allocation to bonds by dialing back exposure
to equities; and through positioning their portfolios for outperformance of
Asia (ex-Japan) and UK equities.
Standard
Chartered said its model globally diversified income allocation basket now
offers more than 6% yield following the rise in bond yields this year. The
risk-reward balance for bonds have turned more attractive after the rise in
yields. With equities, especially in the US and Europe, facing rising risk ofcentral
banks tightening monetary policy too much, the bank sees an opportunity for
investors to dial back exposure to equities and move to bonds. Within equities,
it highlighted its preference for Asia ex-Japan on the back of a policy-driven
economic recovery in China. Meanwhile, UK equities also look attractive because
of the market’s high dividend yields and exposure to energy, financial and
material sectors.
Commenting on
the report, Dr. Owen Young, Head of Affluent and Wealth Management for Africa,
Middle East and Europe at Standard Chartered Bank, said: “A year ago, investors
were struggling to earn even a 4% income – they had to take on more risk to
earn that kind of yield. Today, they can earn more than 6% yield from a
relatively conservative allocation. This is a rare opportunity for income
investors.”
The Bank’s
base case scenario has the US economy slowingdown, without falling into a
recession over the next 6-12 months. It expects the US Federal Reserve to slow
the pace of its interest rate hikes after July as inflation peaks, but still
maintain an aggressive monetary policy stance as inflation remains above 5% at
the end of the year.Europe, being on the frontline of the Ukraine war, faces
rising risk of stagflation. Against this backdrop, the bank sees Gold and
private real estate as attractive inflation hedges. China, meanwhile, is on the
opposite end of the economic cycle, with authorities easing COVID-19 lockdowns
and relaxing credit, fiscal and regulatory policies to revive growth.
- ENDS -
For further information please contact:
Wasim Ben Khadra
Regional Head of Communications, Africa & Middle East
Corporate Affairs, Brand & Marketing
Standard Chartered
Phone: +971 56
5080106
E-mail:wasim.benkhadra@sc.com
About Standard Chartered
We
are a leading international banking group, with a presence in 59 of the world’s
most dynamic markets,and serving clients in a further 83. Our purpose is to
drive commerce and prosperity through our unique diversity, and our heritage
and values are expressed in our brand promise, here for good.Standard Chartered
PLC is listed on the London and Hong Kong Stock Exchanges.
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